Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.347183 0.454900 0.572581 0.708798 0.860424 1.022535 1.207554
2025-08-10 0.197794 0.336839 0.506949 0.720794 0.974605 1.259901 1.599135
2025-08-17 0.103574 0.238484 0.423724 0.673707 0.985300 1.348010 1.790978
2025-08-24 0.044645 0.162248 0.349659 0.622620 0.979306 1.407733 1.943009
2025-08-31 0.017638 0.118982 0.308807 0.604642 1.006126 1.499877 2.126986
2025-09-07 0.005980 0.094502 0.289818 0.611855 1.061730 1.624590 2.347825
2025-09-14 0.000462 0.070384 0.264429 0.605303 1.096021 1.720600 2.532240
2025-09-21 NaN 0.048324 0.235126 0.588218 1.112960 1.792555 2.685595
2025-09-28 NaN 0.044028 0.241360 0.626170 1.205351 1.960511 2.957060
2025-10-05 NaN 0.042483 0.253326 0.673239 1.310519 2.145039 3.249305
2025-10-12 NaN 0.038610 0.258409 0.708471 1.398788 2.307715 3.514530
2025-10-19 NaN 0.039790 0.276633 0.765900 1.518834 2.511885 3.831770
2025-10-26 NaN 0.036366 0.283166 0.806186 1.618622 2.695238 4.130363
2025-11-02 NaN 0.027254 0.270540 0.812944 1.670587 2.817195 4.353861
2025-11-09 NaN 0.012780 0.229177 0.764302 1.638979 2.827178 4.434860
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003503 0.187901 0.709224 1.593958 2.816741 4.487981
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000674 0.167187 0.690068 1.600769 2.873925 4.625451
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000065 0.160180 0.697771 1.648418 2.986116 4.833234
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.147069 0.690755 1.672222 3.065312 4.998266
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.130014 0.672426 1.676861 3.117453 5.127826
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.138369 0.713114 1.776444 3.300945 5.427985
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.150792 0.763467 1.891745 3.506349 5.756798
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.157799 0.801086 1.986566 3.683507 6.049086